Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.204558 0.230166 0.257130 0.287579 0.320946 0.356340 0.396663
2025-05-25 0.169212 0.203675 0.241940 0.287375 0.339639 0.397659 0.466717
2025-06-01 0.144149 0.184028 0.230382 0.287809 0.356582 0.435817 0.533498
2025-06-08 0.124443 0.167620 0.219924 0.287209 0.370663 0.469925 0.595988
2025-06-15 0.111986 0.158245 0.216367 0.293632 0.392398 0.513091 0.670241
2025-06-22 0.099254 0.146862 0.208800 0.293717 0.405344 0.545174 0.731409
2025-06-29 0.088530 0.136844 0.201794 0.293427 0.417012 0.575346 0.790560
2025-07-06 0.079401 0.127970 0.195326 0.292939 0.427760 0.604091 0.848254
2025-07-13 0.072879 0.122092 0.192316 0.296598 0.443745 0.639772 0.915690
2025-07-20 0.068384 0.118709 0.192416 0.304309 0.465246 0.683179 0.994397
2025-07-27 0.062846 0.113149 0.188806 0.306239 0.478411 0.715370 1.058619
2025-08-03 0.059286 0.110335 0.188974 0.313485 0.499156 0.758370 1.138571
2025-08-10 0.055998 0.107795 0.189547 0.321593 0.521857 0.805424 1.226486
2025-08-17 0.050790 0.101538 0.183825 0.319684 0.529574 0.831362 1.285460
2025-08-24 0.046438 0.096314 0.179316 0.319260 0.539279 0.860228 1.349185
2025-08-31 0.042398 0.091225 0.174609 0.318128 0.547650 0.887180 1.410664
2025-09-07 0.040162 0.089208 0.174845 0.324856 0.568253 0.932569 1.499919
2025-09-14 0.036978 0.085078 0.171139 0.324810 0.578075 0.961992 1.566314
2025-09-21 0.034038 0.081115 0.167407 0.324420 0.587172 0.990390 1.631699
2025-09-28 0.031342 0.077354 0.163738 0.323851 0.595805 1.018144 1.696610
2025-10-05 0.029506 0.075167 0.162757 0.327805 0.611857 1.057636 1.780060
2025-10-12 0.028382 0.074370 0.164280 0.336167 0.635408 1.109320 1.883183
2025-10-19 0.026554 0.071860 0.162372 0.338256 0.648430 1.144682 1.961894